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U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedApr 05, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies9
  • 7D2.5%
  • 3M11.9%
  • 1Y35.1%
  • YTDn/a

Over the last 7 days, the Big Box Super Stores industry has risen 2.5%, driven by gains from Walmart of 2.4%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 35%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 7.9% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sun, 05 Apr 2026US$1.6tUS$1.2tUS$37.6b22x41.8x1.3x
Tue, 03 Mar 2026US$1.6tUS$1.2tUS$37.1b26.9x43.1x1.3x
Thu, 29 Jan 2026US$1.5tUS$1.2tUS$38.1b25x38.9x1.3x
Sat, 27 Dec 2025US$1.4tUS$1.2tUS$38.1b23.8x36.5x1.2x
Mon, 24 Nov 2025US$1.3tUS$1.2tUS$37.8b21x35.4x1.1x
Wed, 22 Oct 2025US$1.4tUS$1.2tUS$36.4b21.4x37.6x1.2x
Fri, 19 Sep 2025US$1.4tUS$1.2tUS$36.1b22.3x37.6x1.2x
Sun, 17 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.8b22.9x39.7x1.2x
Tue, 15 Jul 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.8b22.4x38.3x1.1x
Thu, 12 Jun 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.5b23x39.7x1.2x
Sat, 10 May 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.7b22.3x39.4x1.2x
Mon, 07 Apr 2025US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$33.7b18.7x34.7x1x
Wed, 05 Mar 2025US$1.4tUS$1.1tUS$31.8b21.4x42.5x1.2x
Fri, 31 Jan 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.3b21.9x41x1.2x
Sun, 29 Dec 2024US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.3b21.1x39.1x1.1x
Tue, 26 Nov 2024US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.2b21.6x39.1x1.1x
Thu, 24 Oct 2024US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$28.1b21.9x41.6x1x
Sat, 21 Sep 2024US$1.1tUS$1.1tUS$27.9b21.1x41.1x1x
Mon, 19 Aug 2024US$1.1tUS$1.1tUS$27.7b21.5x39.9x1x
Wed, 17 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$1.1tUS$31.1b22.5x34.4x1x
Fri, 14 Jun 2024US$1.0tUS$1.1tUS$30.8b21.2x33.9x0.9x
Sun, 12 May 2024US$982.9bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b20.6x35.8x0.9x
Tue, 09 Apr 2024US$954.8bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b21.5x34.8x0.9x
Thu, 07 Mar 2024US$977.8bUS$1.1tUS$29.7b22.2x32.9x0.9x
Sat, 03 Feb 2024US$910.0bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b20.5x30.3x0.8x
Mon, 01 Jan 2024US$855.9bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b21.4x28.5x0.8x
Wed, 29 Nov 2023US$810.9bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b18.9x27x0.7x
Fri, 27 Oct 2023US$793.1bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b19.3x28.8x0.7x
Sun, 24 Sep 2023US$796.4bUS$1.1tUS$27.2b19.2x29.3x0.7x
Tue, 22 Aug 2023US$807.6bUS$1.1tUS$27.6b21x29.3x0.8x
Thu, 20 Jul 2023US$805.3bUS$1.1tUS$24.1b22.5x33.4x0.8x
Sat, 17 Jun 2023US$790.9bUS$1.1tUS$24.1b21.8x32.8x0.7x
Mon, 15 May 2023US$805.6bUS$1.0tUS$24.9b21.7x32.4x0.8x
Wed, 12 Apr 2023US$800.1bUS$1.0tUS$24.8b22.9x32.2x0.8x
Price to Earnings Ratio

32.2x


Total Market Cap: US$800.1bTotal Earnings: US$24.8bTotal Revenue: US$1.0tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 35.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Hypermarkets and Super Centers industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 41.8x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 35.9x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.00x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Hypermarkets and Super Centers industry have grown 15% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 4.5% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Comparison

How does U.S. Big Box Super Stores compare with similar industries?

US Market3.46%
Consumer Staples1.41%
Food and Staples Retail2.01%
Big Box Super Stores2.48%
Drug Retail5.00%
Food Retail1.74%
Food Distributors-6.55%
Industry PEThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.
Forecasted GrowthThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
WMT WalmartUS$125.792.4%
+US$23.1b		51.2%PE45.8x
COST Costco WholesaleUS$1.01k3.2%
+US$13.8b		10.7%PE52.7x
DG Dollar GeneralUS$119.742.2%
+US$568.2m		29.3%PE17.4x
DLTR Dollar TreeUS$108.441.3%
+US$284.1m		60.5%PE17.5x
TGT TargetUS$120.450.5%
+US$276.2m		25.8%PE14.7x

Latest News

BJ
US$98.06
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
7D
-1.6%
1Y
-15.0%
DG
US$119.74
Dollar General
7D
2.2%
1Y
29.3%
WMT
US$125.79
Walmart
7D
2.4%
1Y
51.2%

WMT: AI Commerce And Drone Expansion Will Support Margins Versus Intensifying Rivals

Analysts have nudged their average Walmart price target higher by roughly $10 to $20 into a $138 to $150 range, citing the retailer's push into AI enabled commerce, expanding digital and advertising platforms, and continued share gains that are pressuring peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Walmart highlights a wide range of views, but most commentary clusters around its push into AI powered commerce, growing digital and advertising businesses, and the valuation reset following its latest earnings and guidance.
COST
US$1,014.96
Costco Wholesale
7D
3.2%
1Y
10.7%

COST: Membership Engine And Premium P E Will Support Defensive Upside

Analyst fair value for Costco Wholesale has been revised higher from $1,205 to about $1,311 per share, as analysts factor in modestly stronger revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, a richer future P/E multiple near 57x, and recent Street research that continues to highlight resilient execution despite concerns around competing products. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Costco continues to frame the retailer as a high quality operator with a premium valuation, while also highlighting some areas of investor caution.
TGT
US$120.45
Target
7D
0.5%
1Y
25.8%

TGT: Merchandising And Guest Experience Investments Will Rebuild Earnings Power

Analysts have raised Target's fair value estimate to $154.82 from $140.00. This change reflects a series of higher price targets tied to updated earnings models, slightly stronger assumed revenue growth and margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following Q4 results, guidance, and investor day commentary.
PSMT
US$152.48
PriceSmart
7D
3.4%
1Y
78.9%

PSMT: Higher 2026 Dividend And Steady Assumptions Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts kept PriceSmart's fair value estimate steady at $143.00, citing only minor tweaks to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that did not materially shift their overall price target view. What's in the News The Board of Directors approved an annual cash dividend of $1.40 per share for 2026, to be paid in two installments of $0.70 per share on February 27 and August 31, 2026, to holders of record as of February 17 and August 17, 2026 respectively (Key Developments).
DLTR
US$108.44
Dollar Tree
7D
1.3%
1Y
60.5%

DLTR: Store Upgrades And Multi Price Rollout Will Support Future Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Dollar Tree has moved to $125.26, with analysts generally pointing to improving store standards, ongoing inventory and value adjustments, and mixed views on traffic and longer-term comparable sales stability as the drivers behind their updated price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research around Dollar Tree is mixed, with price targets spread across a wide range and ratings running from Buy to Underperform.